Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.5%). Gaunce wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.3% vs Hertl 52.3% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 51.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 61.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 56.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Gaunce
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gaunce
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
1
0
Gaunce
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (126)
51.6% (1,084)
+0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Gaunce is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Gaunce shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Hertl
Home
46.9% (49)
55.2% (696)
Away
55.8% (77)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Gaunce
Hertl
P1
54.5%
55.4%
P2
46.2%
54.8%
P3
55.8%
48.9%
Final 5 min
62.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |