Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 52.5% vs Hertl 56.8% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 62.2%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 52.2%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 51.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Gaunce
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (170)
57.0% (718)
-2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
64.9% (188)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
44.2% (77)
+5.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Gaunce is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Gaunce shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Hertl
Home
51.4% (107)
59.2% (463)
Away
57.3% (75)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Gaunce
Hertl
P1
63.4%
56.3%
P2
46.3%
55.4%
P3
55.4%
60.5%
Final 5 min
58.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
53.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%