Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 49.2% vs Hertl 55.4% (-7.8%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 75.1%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 69.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Gaunce
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (74)
54.1% (717)
-5.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
61.9% (210)
+38.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
58.1% (31)
-24.8%
On power play, Gaunce has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Gaunce is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
Gaunce shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Hertl
Home
45.8% (48)
58.1% (492)
Away
51.5% (33)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Gaunce
Hertl
P1
48.1%
57.1%
P2
37.0%
54.0%
P3
59.3%
56.6%
Final 5 min
42.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
48.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%