Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Gaunce wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 53.2% vs Hertl 54.5% (+4.1%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 65.8%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 64.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Gaunce
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (50)
54.1% (1,117)
+1.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
59.8% (296)
+40.2%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
34.4% (32)
+45.6%
On penalty kill, Gaunce has a +45.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Gaunce is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Gaunce shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Hertl
Home
59.0% (39)
54.3% (709)
Away
58.8% (17)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Gaunce
Hertl
P1
50.0%
51.6%
P2
53.3%
53.6%
P3
68.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
68.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
58.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%