Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Nelson 51.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 55.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 53.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 51.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Howden
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Howden
Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Nelson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
51.3% (1,002)
+2.1%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
58.7% (126)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
51.9% (81)
-3.8%
On power play, Nelson has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Howden shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Howden
Nelson
Home
48.8% (258)
52.5% (590)
Away
56.6% (258)
51.7% (619)
By Period
Howden
Nelson
P1
54.0%
50.5%
P2
53.2%
54.4%
P3
50.9%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
52.7%
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
52.1%