Brett Howden vs Brock Nelson

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.3%). Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Howden 49.0% vs Nelson 48.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor Nelson leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone Nelson 56.5%
Defensive zone Howden 60.0%
Neutral zone Howden 55.3%
Result Brett Howden favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Howden Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
15 - 16 (31 meetings)
15
16
Howden Nelson
Last 10: Howden 5-5 Nelson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
5
4
Howden Nelson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
5
Howden Nelson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
6
7
Howden Nelson
13 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Howden
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
47.9% (9,695)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
54.5% (1,132)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
43.8% (783)
-0.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +4.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Home / Away
Howden
Nelson
Home
48.4% (1,608)
50.0% (5,845)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
46.5% (5,766)
By Period
Howden
Nelson
P1
49.5%
48.7%
P2
48.0%
48.5%
P3
49.9%
47.7%
OT
39.3%
45.6%
Final 5 min
48.6%
47.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%
46.5%
49.0%
Nelson
60.0%
54.0%
48.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 27, 2025 2 11:36 Neutral Brett Howden
Dec 27, 2025 1 01:36 Offensive Brett Howden
Oct 31, 2025 3 18:22 Neutral Brock Nelson
Oct 31, 2025 3 12:59 Defensive Brock Nelson
Oct 31, 2025 2 18:41 Offensive Brett Howden
Oct 31, 2025 2 12:53 Neutral Brock Nelson
Jan 6, 2024 1 02:50 Neutral Brock Nelson
Jan 28, 2023 2 13:17 Neutral Brett Howden
Jan 28, 2023 2 09:14 Defensive Brett Howden
Jan 28, 2023 2 06:19 Neutral Brock Nelson
Dec 19, 2021 2 03:45 Offensive Brock Nelson
Oct 24, 2021 1 03:24 Defensive Brock Nelson
Apr 29, 2021 3 16:40 Neutral Brett Howden
Feb 8, 2021 2 12:48 Neutral Brett Howden
Jan 16, 2021 3 15:56 Neutral Brock Nelson
Jan 16, 2021 2 13:48 Defensive Brock Nelson
Jan 14, 2021 3 18:33 Offensive Brock Nelson
Jan 14, 2021 3 08:45 Neutral Brock Nelson
Jan 14, 2021 2 16:25 Offensive Brett Howden
Jan 14, 2021 2 13:24 Defensive Brett Howden