Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Tavares 54.2% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 76.8%
Defensive zone
Howden 78.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 74.9%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Howden
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Howden
Tavares
Last 5: Howden 0-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Howden
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Howden
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Howden
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (631)
53.0% (1,201)
-4.7%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
61.5% (262)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
53.8% (65)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Howden is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Howden shoots left. Tavares is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Howden
Tavares
Home
52.0% (304)
57.5% (762)
Away
45.9% (425)
51.4% (766)
By Period
Howden
Tavares
P1
48.7%
54.5%
P2
48.1%
53.2%
P3
49.0%
55.5%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | John Tavares |