Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Tavares 57.2% (-7.3%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 68.7%
Defensive zone
Howden 69.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Howden
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
58.0% (914)
-7.6%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
57.0% (235)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
57.9% (19)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Howden is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Howden shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Howden
Tavares
Home
47.7% (195)
57.8% (614)
Away
52.8% (233)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Howden
Tavares
P1
51.1%
58.0%
P2
52.6%
56.9%
P3
48.8%
58.4%
OT
33.3%
57.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%