Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 51.1% vs Tavares 57.7% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 66.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 73.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 53.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Howden
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Howden
Tavares
Last 5: Howden 2-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Howden
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Howden
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
57.5% (914)
-4.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
60.5% (309)
-27.2%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
59.1% (22)
-39.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +39.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Howden is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Howden shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Howden
Tavares
Home
55.2% (96)
61.0% (661)
Away
48.9% (131)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Howden
Tavares
P1
42.0%
58.6%
P2
55.8%
57.8%
P3
55.6%
58.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
51.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | John Tavares |