Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Tavares 58.7% (-14.2%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 83.4%
Defensive zone
Howden 69.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Howden
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
59.2% (1,035)
-11.9%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
60.0% (310)
-37.8%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
42.9% (7)
-17.0%
On power play, Tavares has a +37.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Howden is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Howden shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Howden
Tavares
Home
44.3% (176)
57.5% (668)
Away
45.8% (190)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Howden
Tavares
P1
43.1%
58.0%
P2
43.1%
60.1%
P3
48.1%
61.0%
OT
100.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
45.6%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%