Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Tavares 59.8% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 59.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 65.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 66.4%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Howden
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Howden
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Howden
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Howden
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (282)
60.9% (1,043)
-12.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
60.4% (278)
-60.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
47.6% (21)
-10.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +60.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Howden is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Howden shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Howden
Tavares
Home
52.6% (173)
63.5% (684)
Away
41.5% (118)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Howden
Tavares
P1
51.6%
60.3%
P2
37.1%
60.4%
P3
55.3%
60.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |