Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 50.9%). Howden wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 51.1% vs Backlund 50.8% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 50.8%
Defensive zone
Howden 50.7%
Neutral zone
Howden 50.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Howden
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Howden
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Howden
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
51.9% (1,083)
+1.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
51.7% (120)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
44.3% (183)
-24.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Howden is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Howden shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Howden
Backlund
Home
55.2% (96)
51.9% (673)
Away
48.9% (131)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Howden
Backlund
P1
42.0%
51.4%
P2
55.8%
50.5%
P3
55.6%
51.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
51.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |