Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 49.7%). Howden wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Backlund 49.7% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Howden 70.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Howden
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
50.1% (891)
+0.3%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
53.1% (64)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
47.8% (278)
+0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Howden is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Howden shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Howden
Backlund
Home
47.7% (195)
48.1% (580)
Away
52.8% (233)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Howden
Backlund
P1
51.1%
45.1%
P2
52.6%
54.7%
P3
48.8%
49.0%
OT
33.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%