Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Backlund 50.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 66.1%
Defensive zone
Howden 61.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 65.1%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Howden
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Howden
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Howden
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Howden
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
51.0% (1,205)
-3.7%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
59.3% (108)
-37.1%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
42.3% (234)
-16.4%
On power play, Backlund has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Howden is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Howden shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Howden
Backlund
Home
44.3% (176)
51.2% (782)
Away
45.8% (190)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Howden
Backlund
P1
43.1%
51.5%
P2
43.1%
49.8%
P3
48.1%
49.9%
OT
100.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
45.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |