Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Backlund 48.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 77.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 58.6%
Neutral zone
Howden 62.4%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Howden
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Howden
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
0
Howden
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Howden
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
50.4% (1,032)
+3.0%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
52.3% (107)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
40.6% (313)
+7.5%
On power play, Backlund has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Howden shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Howden
Backlund
Home
48.8% (258)
48.7% (749)
Away
56.6% (258)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Howden
Backlund
P1
54.0%
50.4%
P2
53.2%
50.1%
P3
50.9%
45.8%
OT
50.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Brett Howden |