Scouting Report
Brock Boeser holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 50.3% vs Novak 46.5% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Boeser 50.4%
Defensive zone
Novak 56.9%
Neutral zone
Novak 57.5%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Boeser
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (49)
43.2% (118)
+9.9%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
47.8% (23)
-22.8%
On power play, Novak has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Boeser is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Boeser shoots right. Novak is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Boeser
Novak
Home
57.7% (26)
50.7% (71)
Away
44.4% (27)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Boeser
Novak
P1
44.4%
44.7%
P2
54.5%
50.0%
P3
53.8%
38.9%
Final 5 min
37.5%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
46.0%▲
39.0%
50.9%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%