Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Boeser wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 45.9% vs Novak 45.6% (-5.9%)
Offensive zone
Boeser 54.7%
Defensive zone
Novak 63.3%
Neutral zone
Novak 52.5%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Boeser
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (45)
43.8% (384)
-10.5%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
58.8% (17)
-0.5%
On even strength, Novak has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Boeser is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Boeser shoots right. Novak is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Boeser
Novak
Home
42.9% (28)
46.5% (202)
Away
34.5% (29)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Boeser
Novak
P1
42.9%
49.2%
P2
40.0%
44.2%
P3
30.0%
40.0%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
46.0%▲
39.0%
38.6%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%