Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Boeser wins 26.8% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 41.9% vs Novak 45.0% (-15.4%)
Offensive zone
Boeser 52.3%
Defensive zone
Novak 60.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.5%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Boeser
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
31.3% (48)
42.9% (198)
-11.6%
Power Play
0.0% (7)
40.9% (22)
-40.9%
On power play, Novak has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Boeser is 26.8% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Boeser shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Boeser
Novak
Home
23.8% (21)
40.9% (110)
Away
29.4% (34)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Boeser
Novak
P1
30.0%
39.1%
P2
25.0%
43.9%
P3
26.7%
44.9%
Final 5 min
27.3%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
46.0%▲
39.0%
27.3%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%