Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Nelson 44.4% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 78.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 57.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 66.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Henrique
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
Nelson
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Nelson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Nelson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (917)
43.0% (688)
+4.7%
Power Play
54.4% (149)
54.8% (42)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (148)
44.3% (61)
+1.0%
On even strength, Henrique has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Henrique is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Henrique shoots left. Nelson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Henrique
Nelson
Home
49.9% (567)
41.9% (391)
Away
46.7% (647)
45.5% (400)
By Period
Henrique
Nelson
P1
49.7%
47.1%
P2
45.3%
43.0%
P3
50.6%
40.9%
OT
31.8%
63.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 00:01 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |