Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.1% vs Nelson 51.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 63.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 81.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 64.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Schenn
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Schenn
Nelson
Last 9: Schenn 6-3 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Nelson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Nelson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Schenn
Nelson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (649)
50.7% (902)
-1.1%
Power Play
47.7% (44)
59.8% (169)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
48.3% (116)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Schenn is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (479).
Schenn shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Home / Away
Schenn
Nelson
Home
50.5% (333)
53.6% (603)
Away
47.8% (381)
49.9% (585)
By Period
Schenn
Nelson
P1
48.3%
55.4%
P2
52.2%
47.2%
P3
46.5%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | OT | 02:51 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 03:58 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |