Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Nelson wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Jarnkrok shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.9% vs Jarnkrok 46.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 56.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 65.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.1%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Nelson
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Nelson
Jarnkrok
Last 6: Nelson 0-6 Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
0
5
Nelson
Jarnkrok
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
0
1
Nelson
Jarnkrok
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (715)
47.1% (601)
-3.2%
Power Play
61.5% (26)
50.0% (18)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
18.2% (22)
+23.2%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Nelson is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Nelson shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Nelson
Jarnkrok
Home
42.9% (406)
44.5% (362)
Away
45.8% (393)
48.4% (279)
By Period
Nelson
Jarnkrok
P1
44.1%
48.5%
P2
47.2%
45.9%
P3
42.2%
44.7%
OT
30.8%
16.7%
Final 5 min
39.9%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
44.3%
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |