Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Jarnkrok 51.0% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 55.1%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 53.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Nelson
Jarnkrok
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
51.8% (326)
-1.9%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
54.4% (79)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
43.5% (62)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Nelson
Jarnkrok
Home
49.8% (458)
53.0% (281)
Away
49.0% (506)
48.4% (186)
By Period
Nelson
Jarnkrok
P1
50.1%
51.6%
P2
45.4%
50.6%
P3
52.7%
51.5%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%