Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Jarnkrok 51.9% (-7.0%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 59.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 59.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Nelson
Jarnkrok
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
56.3% (16)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
58.8% (17)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Nelson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Nelson shoots left. Jarnkrok is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Nelson
Jarnkrok
Home
52.3% (621)
66.7% (18)
Away
48.9% (618)
46.7% (15)
By Period
Nelson
Jarnkrok
P1
48.4%
50.0%
P2
53.5%
72.7%
P3
50.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
57.6%