Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Jarnkrok shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Jarnkrok 49.6% (-4.0%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 59.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 56.7%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 54.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Nelson
Jarnkrok
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
53.7% (82)
-7.6%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
10.0% (10)
+24.5%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
50.0% (40)
-19.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Nelson
Jarnkrok
Home
48.7% (419)
50.7% (71)
Away
41.3% (368)
47.5% (61)
By Period
Nelson
Jarnkrok
P1
44.6%
52.1%
P2
47.3%
40.5%
P3
43.0%
56.1%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%