Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Tierney 54.8% (-12.0%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 61.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 64.1%
Neutral zone
Tierney 52.6%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Nelson
Tierney
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
57.0% (179)
-10.9%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
0.0% (1)
+34.5%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
64.3% (14)
-33.9%
On power play, Nelson has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Tierney is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Nelson
Tierney
Home
48.7% (419)
62.3% (77)
Away
41.3% (368)
53.8% (117)
By Period
Nelson
Tierney
P1
44.6%
61.1%
P2
47.3%
60.0%
P3
43.0%
49.1%
Final 5 min
39.4%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%