Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.5% vs Dvorak 51.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 57.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 51.8%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 65.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Nelson
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nelson
Dvorak
Last 5: Nelson 4-1 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Dvorak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Dvorak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Dvorak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (681)
51.2% (943)
-3.2%
Power Play
54.0% (87)
51.6% (122)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (37)
52.7% (74)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Nelson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Nelson shoots left. Dvorak is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Nelson
Dvorak
Home
51.1% (399)
53.9% (523)
Away
45.6% (406)
49.2% (616)
By Period
Nelson
Dvorak
P1
51.8%
56.7%
P2
47.5%
50.0%
P3
46.5%
46.7%
OT
20.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 11:37 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |