Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Schwindt 49.6% (+1.0%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 54.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 59.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 59.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Nelson
Schwindt
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Schwindt
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
48.4% (31)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwindt shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Schwindt is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Nelson
Schwindt
Home
49.8% (458)
40.0% (5)
Away
49.0% (506)
50.0% (26)
By Period
Nelson
Schwindt
P1
50.1%
66.7%
P2
45.4%
46.2%
P3
52.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.4%
Schwindt
44.0%▼
48.0%
48.4%