Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.6% vs Schwindt 46.2% (+7.1%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 50.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 60.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Nelson
Schwindt
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Schwindt
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (694)
41.6% (89)
+8.4%
Power Play
56.3% (112)
100.0% (2)
-43.7%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (143)
37.5% (8)
+4.5%
On power play, Schwindt has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwindt shoots right. Nelson is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Nelson shoots left. Schwindt is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Nelson
Schwindt
Home
50.4% (472)
34.0% (50)
Away
48.6% (477)
51.0% (49)
By Period
Nelson
Schwindt
P1
47.2%
44.8%
P2
53.4%
44.1%
P3
47.8%
38.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.5%
Schwindt
44.0%▼
48.0%
42.4%