Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Sillinger 46.7% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 62.4%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 78.5%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 66.5%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Nelson
Sillinger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Nelson
Sillinger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
0
1
Nelson
Sillinger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Sillinger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
0
2
Nelson
Sillinger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Sillinger
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
46.5% (535)
+4.8%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
46.7% (30)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
43.5% (85)
+8.4%
On power play, Nelson has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sillinger shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Sillinger is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Nelson
Sillinger
Home
52.5% (590)
48.7% (339)
Away
51.7% (619)
43.4% (311)
By Period
Nelson
Sillinger
P1
50.5%
46.3%
P2
54.4%
47.9%
P3
51.4%
44.0%
OT
47.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |