Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Sillinger 44.5% (+11.2%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 59.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Nelson
Sillinger
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Sillinger
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
37.4% (99)
+13.3%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
100.0% (2)
-41.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
50.0% (8)
-6.6%
On power play, Sillinger has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sillinger shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Sillinger is 34.3% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Nelson
Sillinger
Home
52.3% (621)
35.2% (54)
Away
48.9% (618)
43.6% (55)
By Period
Nelson
Sillinger
P1
48.4%
45.5%
P2
53.5%
28.6%
P3
50.3%
38.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.4%