Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Bedard 40.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 75.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 61.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 71.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Nelson
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nelson
Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Bedard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
38.9% (512)
+7.2%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
43.8% (16)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
25.0% (4)
+5.4%
On power play, Bedard has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Nelson
Bedard
Home
48.7% (419)
40.2% (246)
Away
41.3% (368)
37.8% (286)
By Period
Nelson
Bedard
P1
44.6%
39.9%
P2
47.3%
38.5%
P3
43.0%
39.0%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |