Scouting Report
David Kampf holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Kampf 52.3% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 67.3%
Defensive zone
Kampf 66.4%
Neutral zone
Kampf 54.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Nelson
Kampf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Nelson
Kampf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Kampf
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
0
1
Nelson
Kampf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kampf
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
54.2% (450)
-3.5%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
25.0% (8)
+33.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
46.9% (81)
-3.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +33.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kampf shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Kampf is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kampf
Home
52.3% (621)
57.3% (262)
Away
48.9% (618)
48.4% (277)
By Period
Nelson
Kampf
P1
48.4%
52.4%
P2
53.5%
54.7%
P3
50.3%
49.4%
OT
41.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |