Scouting Report
David Kampf holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Kampf 51.4% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 80.4%
Defensive zone
Kampf 92.9%
Neutral zone
Kampf 60.7%
Result
David Kampf favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Nelson
Kampf
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nelson
Kampf
Last 7: Nelson 5-2 Kampf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Kampf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
1
2
Nelson
Kampf
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Kampf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kampf
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
56.4% (780)
-9.5%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
44.4% (9)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
41.1% (358)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Kampf has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kampf shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Kampf is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (762).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kampf
Home
48.9% (521)
51.2% (576)
Away
45.5% (516)
51.8% (571)
By Period
Nelson
Kampf
P1
45.9%
50.3%
P2
48.0%
55.0%
P3
48.0%
50.2%
OT
33.3%
26.7%
Final 5 min
45.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |