Scouting Report
David Kampf holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Kampf 51.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 31-19 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 67.4%
Defensive zone
Kampf 86.0%
Neutral zone
Kampf 62.3%
Result
David Kampf favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Nelson
Kampf
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
19
(50 meetings)
31
19
Nelson
Kampf
Last 10: Nelson 8-2 Kampf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
14
0
Nelson
Kampf
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
7
10
Nelson
Kampf
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
10
9
Nelson
Kampf
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kampf
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
53.5% (5,262)
-5.6%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
53.3% (75)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
44.5% (1,512)
-0.7%
On even strength, Kampf has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kampf shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Kampf is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (4,504).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kampf
Home
50.0% (5,845)
51.6% (3,313)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
51.4% (3,536)
By Period
Nelson
Kampf
P1
48.7%
52.1%
P2
48.5%
51.3%
P3
47.7%
51.3%
OT
45.6%
46.2%
Final 5 min
47.8%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |