Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 51.2%). Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Kampf 51.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 91.6%
Defensive zone
Kampf 62.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 71.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Nelson
Kampf
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Nelson
Kampf
Last 10: Nelson 8-2 Kampf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
0
Nelson
Kampf
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Kampf
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
2
Nelson
Kampf
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kampf
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
52.3% (405)
-1.0%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
50.0% (2)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
47.8% (136)
+4.1%
On power play, Nelson has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kampf shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Kampf is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kampf
Home
52.5% (590)
49.8% (269)
Away
51.7% (619)
52.6% (274)
By Period
Nelson
Kampf
P1
50.5%
50.5%
P2
54.4%
53.8%
P3
51.4%
48.6%
Final 5 min
57.3%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |