Scouting Report
David Kampf holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kampf shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Kampf 50.8% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 83.8%
Defensive zone
Kampf 85.5%
Neutral zone
Kampf 59.9%
Result
David Kampf favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Nelson
Kampf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Nelson
Kampf
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Kampf
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Kampf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kampf
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
53.8% (610)
-7.7%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
53.8% (13)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
44.8% (299)
-14.4%
On power play, Kampf has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kampf shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Kampf is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kampf
Home
48.7% (419)
47.5% (400)
Away
41.3% (368)
53.4% (522)
By Period
Nelson
Kampf
P1
44.6%
57.3%
P2
47.3%
47.4%
P3
43.0%
49.3%
OT
100.0%
29.4%
Final 5 min
39.4%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |