Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Ryan 54.9% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 78.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 73.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Nelson
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
60.2% (387)
-10.3%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
28.6% (7)
+24.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
43.2% (118)
-14.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Nelson
Ryan
Home
49.8% (458)
56.7% (254)
Away
49.0% (506)
55.0% (258)
By Period
Nelson
Ryan
P1
50.1%
56.9%
P2
45.4%
51.7%
P3
52.7%
59.2%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%