Scouting Report
Dominic Toninato holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Toninato 50.5% (-7.9%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 56.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 60.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Nelson
Toninato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Toninato
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
60.0% (5)
-8.7%
On even strength, Toninato has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toninato shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Toninato is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (3).
Home / Away
Nelson
Toninato
Home
52.5% (590)
60.0% (5)
Away
51.7% (619)
0.0% (0)
By Period
Nelson
Toninato
P2
54.4%
50.0%
P3
51.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.3%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
60.0%