Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Rodrigues 47.9% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 51.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 50.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.1%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Nelson
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Nelson
Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Rodrigues
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
47.2% (318)
+2.7%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
52.4% (42)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
42.3% (26)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Nelson
Rodrigues
Home
49.8% (458)
49.8% (215)
Away
49.0% (506)
44.4% (171)
By Period
Nelson
Rodrigues
P1
50.1%
44.2%
P2
45.4%
53.5%
P3
52.7%
44.6%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |