Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Rodrigues 50.0% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 58.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 66.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Nelson
Rodrigues
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
51.2% (41)
-5.1%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
46.7% (15)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
50.0% (2)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Nelson
Rodrigues
Home
48.7% (419)
45.8% (24)
Away
41.3% (368)
52.9% (34)
By Period
Nelson
Rodrigues
P1
44.6%
38.1%
P2
47.3%
52.6%
P3
43.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
39.4%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
50.0%