Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.8% vs Kuznetsov 39.7% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 82.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 94.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 95.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 93.1%
93.1%
6.9%
Nelson
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Nelson
Kuznetsov
Last 10: Nelson 7-3 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Kuznetsov
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
0
Nelson
Kuznetsov
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
6
2
Nelson
Kuznetsov
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,020)
39.0% (960)
+8.4%
Power Play
51.5% (163)
37.8% (45)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (63)
27.8% (18)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Nelson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Nelson shoots left. Kuznetsov is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kuznetsov
Home
51.0% (641)
40.3% (533)
Away
44.1% (605)
36.9% (490)
By Period
Nelson
Kuznetsov
P1
48.2%
37.8%
P2
48.1%
41.5%
P3
46.9%
36.4%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
31.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
38.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 03:26 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 17:02 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 00:28 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |