Brock Nelson vs Evgeny Kuznetsov
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Kuznetsov 44.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 49-44 in 93 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 55.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 75.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 61.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Nelson
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
44
(93 meetings)
49
44
Nelson
Kuznetsov
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
8
18
Nelson
Kuznetsov
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
19
12
Nelson
Kuznetsov
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
22
14
Nelson
Kuznetsov
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
43.9% (8,296)
+4.0%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
49.4% (633)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
38.2% (272)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,118).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kuznetsov
Home
50.0% (5,845)
44.8% (4,622)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
43.4% (4,579)
By Period
Nelson
Kuznetsov
P1
48.7%
43.6%
P2
48.5%
45.8%
P3
47.7%
42.8%
OT
45.6%
43.2%
Final 5 min
47.8%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:49 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 07:48 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:24 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |