Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Kuznetsov 44.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 86.9%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 84.0%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 83.7%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 86.1%
13.9%
86.1%
Nelson
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Nelson
Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
3
Nelson
Kuznetsov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
1
Nelson
Kuznetsov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
43.3% (980)
+6.6%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
47.0% (115)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
40.8% (71)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kuznetsov
Home
49.8% (458)
43.9% (602)
Away
49.0% (506)
43.1% (564)
By Period
Nelson
Kuznetsov
P1
50.1%
43.2%
P2
45.4%
41.5%
P3
52.7%
45.2%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:24 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |