Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Kuznetsov 42.8% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 51.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 74.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 66.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Nelson
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Nelson
Kuznetsov
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
7
Nelson
Kuznetsov
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
0
Nelson
Kuznetsov
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
2
Nelson
Kuznetsov
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (586)
41.4% (471)
+7.1%
Power Play
51.9% (81)
44.4% (18)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
25.0% (4)
+32.5%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Nelson is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Nelson shoots left. Kuznetsov is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kuznetsov
Home
55.0% (362)
43.0% (223)
Away
43.5% (345)
40.0% (270)
By Period
Nelson
Kuznetsov
P1
49.3%
37.3%
P2
53.6%
40.2%
P3
46.0%
48.9%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 17:09 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |