Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Chytil on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Chytil 42.3% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Chytil leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Chytil 78.0%
Defensive zone
Chytil 82.6%
Neutral zone
Chytil 81.5%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 80.6%
19.4%
80.6%
Nelson
Chytil
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Nelson
Chytil
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Chytil
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
5
Nelson
Chytil
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
1
Nelson
Chytil
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
2
5
Nelson
Chytil
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
42.1% (2,535)
+5.8%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
42.2% (206)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
37.5% (24)
+6.3%
On power play, Nelson has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Chytil is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,850).
Home / Away
Nelson
Chytil
Home
50.0% (5,845)
42.8% (1,337)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
41.4% (1,428)
By Period
Nelson
Chytil
P1
48.7%
40.8%
P2
48.5%
43.8%
P3
47.7%
41.4%
OT
45.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:56 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 14:26 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 13:39 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 08:54 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 18:35 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |