Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Chytil 47.3% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 57.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 55.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.3%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Nelson
Chytil
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Nelson
Chytil
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
0
1
Nelson
Chytil
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Chytil
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
46.9% (503)
+4.4%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
42.1% (57)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
100.0% (4)
-48.1%
On penalty kill, Chytil has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Chytil is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Nelson
Chytil
Home
52.5% (590)
49.7% (286)
Away
51.7% (619)
43.9% (278)
By Period
Nelson
Chytil
P1
50.5%
47.5%
P2
54.4%
47.1%
P3
51.4%
45.7%
OT
47.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |