Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Chytil 41.2% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 73.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 59.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 77.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Nelson
Chytil
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nelson
Chytil
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Chytil
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
39.9% (579)
+7.0%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
38.3% (47)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
40.0% (5)
-15.0%
On power play, Nelson has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Chytil is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Home / Away
Nelson
Chytil
Home
48.9% (521)
38.2% (285)
Away
45.5% (516)
41.0% (346)
By Period
Nelson
Chytil
P1
45.9%
38.0%
P2
48.0%
42.1%
P3
48.0%
39.2%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |