Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 50.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.6% vs Chytil 50.2% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Chytil 55.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 64.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Nelson
Chytil
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (694)
48.7% (113)
+1.3%
Power Play
56.3% (112)
83.3% (6)
-27.0%
On power play, Chytil has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. Nelson is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Nelson shoots left. Chytil is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Nelson
Chytil
Home
50.4% (472)
54.8% (73)
Away
48.6% (477)
43.5% (46)
By Period
Nelson
Chytil
P1
47.2%
45.8%
P2
53.4%
59.5%
P3
47.8%
40.7%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.5%
Chytil
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%