Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Chytil 49.5% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Chytil 52.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 61.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Nelson
Chytil
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
48.2% (114)
+2.5%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
62.5% (8)
-3.9%
On power play, Chytil has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Chytil is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Nelson
Chytil
Home
52.3% (621)
54.8% (73)
Away
48.9% (618)
40.8% (49)
By Period
Nelson
Chytil
P1
48.4%
43.1%
P2
53.5%
59.5%
P3
50.3%
40.7%
OT
41.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
49.2%