Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Chytil 45.0% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 54.4%
Defensive zone
Chytil 54.1%
Neutral zone
Chytil 54.3%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Nelson
Chytil
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
Chytil
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
0
1
Nelson
Chytil
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
42.0% (283)
+7.9%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
57.7% (26)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
50.0% (2)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Chytil has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Chytil is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Nelson
Chytil
Home
49.8% (458)
42.8% (152)
Away
49.0% (506)
44.0% (159)
By Period
Nelson
Chytil
P1
50.1%
44.0%
P2
45.4%
44.4%
P3
52.7%
40.9%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:56 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |