Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Chytil on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.6% vs Chytil 40.3% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 70.4%
Defensive zone
Chytil 76.9%
Neutral zone
Chytil 75.3%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Nelson
Chytil
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Nelson
Chytil
Last 7: Nelson 2-5 Chytil
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
3
Nelson
Chytil
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Chytil
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
0
2
Nelson
Chytil
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (902)
38.9% (470)
+11.8%
Power Play
59.8% (169)
37.8% (37)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (116)
12.5% (8)
+35.8%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +35.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Nelson shoots left. Chytil is 35.9% vs left-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Nelson
Chytil
Home
53.6% (603)
40.1% (272)
Away
49.9% (585)
36.6% (243)
By Period
Nelson
Chytil
P1
55.4%
39.6%
P2
47.2%
34.5%
P3
52.6%
41.4%
Final 5 min
54.1%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
51.8%
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2020 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 08:54 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |